Invest 92L likely to become tropical depression this week
A tropical wave in the central Atlantic has a 90% chance of forming into a tropical depression by late week.
KILLED 11 PEOPLE. ALL RIGHT, LET’S SEND IT OVER TO RAVEN. RICHARD AT 517. AND RAVEN IS THERE OUT THERE A LITTLE BIT. YEAH, YOU GOT TO GET WAY, WAY CLOSE. I MEAN, WE’RE ALMOST GOING TO GET DOWN TO YOUR STREET. WE WERE. WE’RE GOING TO A STATE ROUTE 40. WAS STARTING TO SEE SOME RAIN OVER YOU. BUT HERE’S A CLOSER LOOK AT IT. JUST ON THE OTHER SIDE OF SUN. OTHER SIDE OF BUSH. WHAT? I’M ABOUT TO HEAD TOWARDS YOU. THIS IS ON THE NORTH SHORE. SO FOLSOM IS JUST ON THE THE LEFT SIDE OF YOU, OR I GUESS, THE EAST SIDE OF YOU. AS OF RIGHT NOW, I DON’T THINK IT WILL QUITE REACH YOU, BUT I’LL SEE HOW FAR THIS DOES GO DOWN. BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE IT’S STARTING TO WEAKEN A LITTLE BIT. BUT THAT’S ALL I DO HAVE. AND MODELS THIS MORNING REALLY HAVING A TOUGH TIME ON PICKING UP THAT LITTLE BIT OF RAIN. BUT I DO THINK IT’S GOING TO DO A BETTER JOB ONCE YOU GET TO THE AFTERNOON. SO COASTAL MISSISSIPPI LIKELY GOING TO HAVE THAT BEST CHANCE TO SEE SOME RAIN. EVEN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH SHORE. WE’VE SEEN THAT OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. BUT THE NORTH SHORE, YOU DO NEED SOME RAIN AND I THINK WE CAN GET SOME, ESPECIALLY AS WE GET DEEPER INTO THE AFTERNOON, CLOSER TO THE EVENING, MAYBE JUST AFTER THAT DRIVE TIME. SO THIS IS GOING TO CHANGE IS THE HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL. SO IT BRINGS IN DATA EVERY SINGLE HOUR. SO IT’S GOING TO LOOK DIFFERENT AS WE PROGRESS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SO CHECK BACK IN AN HOUR OR SO. THAT’S GOING TO LOOK DIFFERENT. THEN LATER ON AT NOON IT’S ALSO GOING TO LOOK DIFFERENT. SO IF YOU’RE OUT IN THE WATER FOR TODAY REALLY DON’T HAVE TOO MANY ISSUES OUT THERE FOR YOU. SO THINGS SHOULD STAY CALM. GOT SOME HIGH PRESSURE KEEPING A LOT OF THE CONDITIONS FOR AREA AT BAY. SO HERE’S WHAT’S GOING ON. RAIN CHANCES DON’T LOOK THAT GREAT AS WE HEAD INTO THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ABOUT 10 TO 20 TO MAYBE 30% CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN. AND LOOK AT THIS. I’VE BEEN SHOWING THIS FOR ALMOST A WEEK NOW. YEAH, WE ARE ALMOST INTO THE NEGATIVE FOR AS FAR AS HOW MUCH RAIN THAT WE HAVE BEEN GETTING FOR THIS YEAR SO FAR, A LOT OF AREAS IN YELLOW IN THE ABNORMAL, ABNORMALLY DRY SECTION, THIBODAUX HOUMA THOUGH YOU ARE STILL NOT IN IT, YOU’VE HAD PLENTY OF RAIN AND YOU’VE SEEN THAT AS WELL, BUT CHANGES ARE ON THE WAY. WE COULD GET SOME RAIN, MORE RAIN AS WE DO HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. JUST KEEP THAT IN MIND FOR YOU AS FAR AS YOUR TEMPERATURES GO. RIGHT NOW YOU’RE LOOKING AT THE 60S AND 70S NOW. USUALLY WE’RE STARTING TO SEE MORE 60S ON THE NORTH SHORE FOR THE MORNING HOURS. NONE YET. LET’S GO TO THE RIVER. PARISHES 73 OVER IN RESERVE RIGHT NOW. HIGHS FOR TODAY. UPPER 80S, LOWER 90S. PRETTY MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY. LET’S GET TO THE TROPICS. SEEING TWO AREAS OF INTEREST NOW. ONE WITH A HIGH CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT. THIS ONE LIKELY GOING TO CURVE AWAY FROM THE U.S. THIS ONE GOING TO TAKE A VERY LONG TIME TO EVEN START TO SEE SOME FORMATION FROM THIS. BUT WHEN THEY DO DEVELOP OUT OUT EARLY LIKE THAT, IT’S GOING TO TAKE A LONG TIME FOR IT TO EVEN REACH ALL THE WAY OUT TOWARDS THIS WAY. THE REST OF THE FORECAST MORGAN LENTES WIL
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Invest 92L likely to become tropical depression this week
A tropical wave in the central Atlantic has a 90% chance of forming into a tropical depression by late week.
Updated: 6:44 AM CDT Sep 16, 2025
EASTERN AND CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:A broad area of low pressure, identified as Invest 92L, is showing signs of organization midway between Africa and the Windward Islands. Environmental conditions are favorable for development, and the system is expected to become a tropical depression within the next couple of days as it moves west-northwest at 10–15 mph.We now have started forecast data on this system. Here are the likeliest computer forecast tracks right now.WHAT WE KNOW:Chance of development over the next 2 days: High 90%Chance of development over the next 3-7 days: High 90%IMPACT TO LOUISIANA:The system is expected to remain far from the Gulf of Mexico and Louisiana. Bermuda may need to closely monitor Invest 92L depending on its future track.
EASTERN AND CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A broad area of low pressure, identified as Invest 92L, is showing signs of organization midway between Africa and the Windward Islands. Environmental conditions are favorable for development, and the system is expected to become a tropical depression within the next couple of days as it moves west-northwest at 10–15 mph.
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We now have started forecast data on this system. Here are the likeliest computer forecast tracks right now.
WHAT WE KNOW:
Chance of development over the next 2 days: High 90%
Chance of development over the next 3-7 days: High 90%
IMPACT TO LOUISIANA:
The system is expected to remain far from the Gulf of Mexico and Louisiana. Bermuda may need to closely monitor Invest 92L depending on its future track.